Tidelines

Trends · 2026-07-14

Who's rising, and how fast.

LLM momentum, adoption speed, breakouts, and the events behind them, recomputed daily from the Tidelines archive.

Momentum, 30-day share change

Top gainers to the right, biggest losers to the left. Labels are percentage-point change over the last 30 days.

Tidelines.ai
Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Momentum leaderboard

Ranked by 30d share change. Accel column = (7d Δ/day) − (30d Δ/day) — positive means picking up speed.

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30d trend
1Tencent: Hy317.26%↑6.26+6.26pp+16.31pp↑0.35
2Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.515.20%↑6.66+6.66pp+6.33pp↑0.74
3Z.ai: GLM 5.25.50%↓0.97-0.97pp+5.07pp↓0.31
4NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra5.04%↑3.41+3.41pp+3.04pp↑0.39
5Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.84.07%↑0.05+0.05pp+1.89pp↓0.06
6Anthropic: Claude Sonnet 51.66%↓0.27-0.27pp+1.43pp↓0.09
7OpenAI: GPT-5.51.16%↓1.09-1.09pp+0.46pp↓0.17
8OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Luna0.43%↑0.10+0.10pp+0.10pp↑0.01
9OpenAI: gpt-oss-20b0.34%↑0.01+0.01pp+0.09pp↓0.00
10OpenAI: GPT-5.40.68%↓0.05-0.05pp+0.07pp↓0.01
11Text Embedding 3 Small0.25%↓0.19-0.19pp+0.06pp↓0.03
12OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Sol0.68%↑0.03+0.03pp+0.03pp↑0.00
13Google: Gemma 4 31B0.49%↓0.11-0.11pp+0.01pp↓0.02
14MoonshotAI: Kimi K2.50.25%↓0.01-0.01pp+0.01pp↓0.00
15Z.ai: GLM 50.24%↓0.27-0.27pp-0.02pp↓0.04
Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Adoption velocity

Models whose first observation in the archive is within the last 90 days. Days-to-0.5% / 1% is how long it took to first cross that share. Click any column to sort.

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OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Luna3——0.43%↑0.10
OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Sol40—0.68%↑0.03
xAI: Grok 4.550—0.44%↓0.17
Tencent: Hy380117.26%↑6.26
Anthropic: Claude Sonnet 514111.66%↓0.27
Text Embedding 3 Small23——0.25%↓0.19
OpenAI: gpt-oss-20b24——0.34%↑0.01
Z.ai: GLM 5.228115.50%↓0.97
MoonshotAI: Kimi K2.7 Code310—0.21%↓0.10
Anthropic: Claude Fable 534000.77%↓0.18
Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Adoption curves, aligned to day zero

Each line is a recent model's share since its first appearance in the archive.

Tidelines.ai

How to read: Every line is one recently launched model. The x-axis counts days since it first appeared in the archive; the y-axis is its share. Darker strokes crossed 1% within 14 days.

Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Breakout detector

Models whose recent 7d mean is more than 2σ above their trailing 30d mean. Shaded band shows ±2σ; the dot marks the first day the trigger fires.

Tidelines.ai
NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra7.46σ

Now 5.04% · shaded band = ±2σ of prior 30d mean

OpenAI: gpt-oss-20b6.15σ

Now 0.34% · shaded band = ±2σ of prior 30d mean

Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.54.09σ

Now 15.20% · shaded band = ±2σ of prior 30d mean

Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Event timeline

First appearances in the top 20, sizeable 30d gains, and 5% threshold crossings — pulled from the leaderboard history.

Tidelines.ai

  1. 2026-07-14 · Rank jump

    Tencent: Hy3

    Tencent: Hy3 gained 16.31pp of share over 30 days.

  2. 2026-07-14 · Rank jump

    Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.5

    Xiaomi: MiMo-V2.5 gained 6.33pp of share over 30 days.

  3. 2026-07-14 · Rank jump

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2 gained 5.07pp of share over 30 days.

  4. 2026-07-14 · Rank jump

    NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra

    NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra gained 3.04pp of share over 30 days.

  5. 2026-07-13 · Threshold crossed

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2 crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  6. 2026-07-11 · Threshold crossed

    DeepSeek: DeepSeek V4 Pro

    DeepSeek: DeepSeek V4 Pro crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  7. 2026-07-10 · Threshold crossed

    NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra

    NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Ultra crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  8. 2026-07-07 · Threshold crossed

    Tencent: Hy3

    Tencent: Hy3 crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  9. 2026-07-06 · New in top

    Tencent: Hy3

    Tencent: Hy3 first appears; now #1 at 17.26%.

  10. 2026-07-05 · Threshold crossed

    Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.7

    Anthropic: Claude Opus 4.7 crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  11. 2026-07-03 · Threshold crossed

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2

    Z.ai: GLM 5.2 crossed 5% of measured traffic.

  12. 2026-07-03 · Threshold crossed

    DeepSeek: DeepSeek V4 Pro

    DeepSeek: DeepSeek V4 Pro crossed 5% of measured traffic.

Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

Market half-life at #1

Each block is a run at the top of the leaderboard. Width is proportional to days held #1; color follows the lab.

Tidelines.ai

10 distinct #1 models over 37 days. Median run length 2d.

Data: Tidelines archive as of 2026-07-14

All views are recomputed from the daily archive; accuracy improves as history grows.